Unless we're willing to really endure some corrections - like lots of foreclosures, and the bankruptcy of the automobile (and associated) industries, in order to lower costs structures and make these businesses competitive - we need some drastic, supply-side work done.
If Obama really wants to jump start things - let's go with my plan:
- A serious and drastic cap gains tax reduction - if not 0%, how about a reduction to 5% or 7.5%. That would get some capital spending started immediately.
- A serious income tax reduction, not tinkering, like Obama wants to do with no changes on "the rich," but a real reduction, on the order of 30-50% on ALL taxpayers, especially those rich investors.
- Privatize at least a portion of social security. Get these obligations off the government's books, and get this capital into the market, where it can help spur investment.
- While I dont' want the automakers to fold, I do want them to restructure. Work something out that is a pseudo-Chapter 11 for them. Get real concessions from the unions who hamstring them, and get rid of their rotten management.
- Quickly devise a plan to get the government out of the financial industry.
- Repeal rotten laws like Sarbanes Oxley.
- Get rid of CAFE standards and some of the other mandated standards the automakers and other industries must deal with.
The path forward needs less government, and more capitalism, not the opposite. If we continue on the tack we are on, we will wind up with 2 years of recession and a weak growth cycle.
Drastic times call for drastic measures. Let's have some.